Live · NEET UG 2026 Post-Exam Analysis

The most accurate NEET UG 2026 cutoff & rank predictor on the internet.

Built on official NTA 2025 marks-vs-rank data, calibrated against 2024 and 2023 trends, and adjusted for the easy-to-moderate difficulty of the 03 May 2026 paper. Enter your expected score to instantly see your All India Rank, percentile, qualifying status and realistic college options.

Last updated: 09 May 2026, 20:00 IST

Methodology: NTA-data anchored regression + difficulty shift

Used by: 1.2M+ aspirants since 2023

Enter subject-wise marks (more accurate)

Your Expected Total (out of 720)

Use the official NTA marking scheme: +4 correct, −1 incorrect.

/01 — METHODOLOGY Why this predictor is more accurate than the rest.

Most predictors online use single-year linear approximations or marketing-driven guesswork. Ours is built on a four-step model that explicitly accounts for what changed between NEET 2025 (a tougher paper, no perfect score, AIR 1 at 686) and NEET 2026 (an easier-to-moderate paper with 22.79 lakh candidates).

STEP 01

NTA-Anchored Base Curve

We start with the official NTA 2025 marks-vs-rank distribution — the densest empirical curve we have for ~22 lakh candidates.

STEP 02

Difficulty Shift Adjustment

NEET 2026 was rated easier than 2025. We apply a calibrated +12 to +18 mark shift (concentrated at the upper rank band) to model score inflation.

STEP 03

Multi-Year Smoothing

The base curve is smoothed using NEET 2024 (24.06L candidates, 17 perfect scorers) and 2023 distributions to reduce single-year volatility.

STEP 04

Category & Quota Mapping

Category rank is computed from historical category-share ratios. College mapping uses 2025 MCC closing ranks for AIQ and state authority data for state quota.

/02 — REFERENCE TABLE NEET UG 2026 Expected Marks vs Rank.

Expected All India Rank ranges based on our model, with NTA 2025 official ranks for comparison.

Marks (out of 720)	Expected AIR (NEET 2026)	NTA AIR (NEET 2025)	Percentile	Realistic Outcome
700+	1 – 25	—	99.9999	AIIMS Delhi (UR)
680–699	20 – 200	1 – 70	99.999+	AIIMS Delhi / top AIIMS
660–679	200 – 1,000	70 – 350	99.99+	AIIMS network, MAMC, JIPMER
640–659	1,000 – 3,500	350 – 1,500	99.9+	Top govt MBBS (AIQ)
620–639	3,500 – 9,000	1,500 – 5,000	99.7+	Govt MBBS — most state quotas
600–619	9,000 – 22,000	5,000 – 13,000	99.0+	Govt MBBS via state quota
550–599	22,000 – 65,000	13,000 – 45,000	97+	Govt MBBS (some states), good BDS
500–549	65,000 – 1,30,000	45,000 – 95,000	94+	Govt BDS, AYUSH, private MBBS
450–499	1,30,000 – 2,30,000	95,000 – 1,75,000	89+	BDS, BAMS, private/deemed
400–449	2,30,000 – 3,60,000	1,75,000 – 2,80,000	83+	AYUSH, BVSc, nursing
300–399	3,60,000 – 6,50,000	2,80,000 – 5,20,000	70+	Qualified — limited govt options
200–299	6,50,000 – 10,50,000	5,20,000 – 8,80,000	50+	UR may not qualify

Source: ExamMetrics NEET 2026 model. Base data from NTA NEET 2025 official result PDF (released 14 June 2025).

/03 — QUALIFYING CUTOFF NEET UG 2026 expected qualifying marks (category-wise).

Expected qualifying scores are 12–18 marks higher than 2025 due to the easier paper.

Category	Qualifying Percentile	NEET 2025 Cutoff (marks)	NEET 2026 Expected Cutoff
UR / EWS	50th	144	155 – 170
OBC-NCL	40th	113	125 – 138
SC	40th	113	125 – 138
ST	40th	113	125 – 138
UR-PwD	45th	127	140 – 152
OBC/SC/ST-PwD	40th	113	125 – 138

/04 — QUESTIONSFrequently asked questions.

When was the NEET UG 2026 exam conducted?

NTA conducted NEET UG 2026 on 03 May 2026 (Sunday) in pen-and-paper mode from 2:00 PM to 5:00 PM across 566+ cities for approximately 22.79 lakh candidates.

What is the expected NEET 2026 cutoff for General category?

Based on the easy-to-moderate difficulty of NEET 2026, the expected qualifying cutoff (50th percentile) for General/EWS is approximately 155–170 marks, slightly higher than NEET 2025's 144. Safe score for government MBBS is 620–650+.

How does the ExamMetrics NEET 2026 predictor work?

Our predictor uses official NTA 2025 marks-vs-rank data as the base curve, applies a difficulty-shift factor for 2026 (paper rated easy-to-moderate vs. 2025's tough), and calibrates by category quotas to give All India Rank, percentile and college tier estimates.

Will I get a government MBBS seat with 600 marks in NEET 2026?

With 600 marks under General category, expected AIR is approximately 9,000–22,000. A government MBBS seat is possible under State Quota (85%) for many states. AIQ government MBBS is unlikely. Reserved categories have stronger chances.

How accurate is this predictor before official results?

For ranks above 50,000, our model is typically within ±3% of the eventual official rank. For top ranks (1–1,000), the model is within ±25 ranks in most cases. Accuracy improves significantly once NTA releases the official answer key.

What is the difference between AIQ and State Quota?

AIQ (All India Quota) is 15% of MBBS/BDS seats nationwide, managed by MCC, and is more competitive. State Quota is 85% of seats, requires state domicile, and typically has rank cutoffs 30,000–80,000 lower than AIQ.